Objective: Define the goal of the strategy. For example, it could be to maximize profits, minimize risk, or arbitrage opportunities.
Asset Class: Specify the asset class (e.g., equities, commodities, forex, crypto, etc.).
Time Horizon: Define the time frame (e.g., intraday, swing, or long-term trading).
2. Market Data Inputs
Data Sources: List the data required (e.g., price, volume, historical data, fundamental data, sentiment data).
Frequency: Specify the frequency of data updates (e.g., minute-by-minute, daily).
Preprocessing: Describe how data will be cleaned and processed for use in the model.
3. Signal Generation
Indicators: Define technical indicators or fundamental metrics used for generating buy/sell signals (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, etc.).
Rules for Signal: Specify conditions that trigger trades (e.g., when the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average).
Filters: Define any additional criteria or filters to avoid false signals (e.g., volume thresholds, volatility limits).
4. Risk Management
Position Sizing: Define how to size positions based on risk tolerance (e.g., fixed percentage of portfolio, Kelly criterion).
Stop Loss: Implement stop-loss levels to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Define profit-taking rules (e.g., a fixed percentage gain, trailing stops).
Maximum Drawdown: Define acceptable drawdown levels before halting the strategy.
5. Execution Strategy
Order Types: Specify the type of orders (e.g., market, limit, stop).
Slippage & Transaction Costs: Consider how to minimize slippage and account for transaction costs.
Timing: Describe the timing logic, such as whether trades are executed at the close or based on real-time price movements.
6. Backtesting & Simulation
Historical Testing: Run the strategy against historical data to assess performance.
Key Metrics: Track performance metrics like Sharpe ratio, win/loss ratio, annualized returns, and maximum drawdown.
Walk Forward Analysis: Use walk-forward optimization to ensure the strategy holds up over different time periods.
7. Optimization
Parameter Tuning: Optimize parameters like moving average lengths or volatility thresholds.
Overfitting Prevention: Apply cross-validation to avoid overfitting the strategy to historical data.
8. Live Execution
Paper Trading: Test the strategy in a live environment without committing real capital.
Real-Time Monitoring: Continuously monitor the performance and adjust for market conditions, including unexpected volatility or news events.
9. Review and Adjustment
Performance Review: Periodically review performance metrics and refine the strategy.
Adaptation: Adapt to changing market conditions or new data inputs (e.g., integrating machine learning for more dynamic signal generation).
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